Saudi Pro League Gameweek 21
Feb 6, 2026 2.25pm
King Khalid Sport City Stadium

NEOM SC vs Al Riyadh - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NEOM SC

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 5.30pm
Al Okhdood 1 - 1 NEOM SC
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Nathan Zeze

Al Riyadh

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 3.15pm
Al Riyadh 0 - 1 Al-Nassr
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Toze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NEOM SC win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Al Riyadh has a probability of 24.37% and a draw has a probability of 23.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEOM SC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win is 1-2 (6.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.69%).

Result

NEOM SC 51.87%
Draw 23.76%
Al Riyadh 24.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.5%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.37% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 20.63% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57.2%
Under 2.5 42.8%
Over 3.5 34.5%
Under 3.5 65.5%
Over 4.5 20.41%
Under 4.5 79.59%

First Half Winner

NEOM SC 40.47%
Draw 38.58%
Al Riyadh 20.95%

Team To Score First

NEOM SC 61.1%
No Goal 5.35%
Al Riyadh 33.55%

Corners

Over 8 59.93%
Equal 8 11.81%
Under 8 28.26%
Over 9 47.66%
Equal 9 12.27%
Under 9 40.07%
Over 10.5 36.04%
Under 10.5 63.96%

NEOM SC Goals

Over 1.5 52.28%
Under 1.5 47.72%
Over 2.5 26.16%
Under 2.5 73.84%
Over 3.5 10.62%
Under 3.5 89.38%

Al Riyadh Goals

Over 0.5 61.55% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.45% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.68% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 70.32% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.26% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.74% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.07%
Under 3.5 96.93%

Score analysis

NEOM SC 51.87%
Draw 23.76%
Al Riyadh 24.37%
NEOM SC
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 8.19%
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-0 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 3.45%
Other @ 10.41%
Total : 51.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.76%
Al Riyadh
1-2 @ 6.55%
0-1 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 3.28%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 24.37%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Sep 27, 2025 4.20pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT