Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEOM SC win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Damac had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEOM SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Damac win was 0-1 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.