Saudi Pro League Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2026 5.30pm
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium

Al Fateh vs Al-Nassr - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fateh

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 5.30pm
Al Quadisiya 0 - 0 Al Fateh
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Matias Vargas

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 5.30pm
Al-Nassr 1 - 0 Al Ittihad
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 70.92%. A draw has a probability of 14.79% and a win for Al Fateh has a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.02%) , while for a Al Fateh win it is 2-1 (3.36%).

Result

Al Fateh 14.29% (-1.33)
Draw 14.79% (-0.63)
Al-Nassr 70.92% (+1.94)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.25% (-0.94)

Goals

Over 1.5 89.79% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 10.21% (+0.71)
Over 2.5 74.33% (-1.16)
Under 2.5 25.67% (+1.15)
Over 3.5 54.03% (-1.12)
Under 3.5 45.97% (+1.12)
Over 4.5 39.22% (-0.74)
Under 4.5 60.78% (+0.74)

First Half Winner

Al Fateh 15.66% (-0.02)
Draw 32.02% (-0.42)
Al-Nassr 52.32% (+0.44)

Team To Score First

Al Fateh 27.42% (-0.31)
No Goal 2.14% (+0.03)
Al-Nassr 70.44% (+0.29)

Corners

Over 8 72.35% (+0.05)
Equal 8 8.89% (-0.08)
Under 8 18.76% (+0.03)
Over 9 62.17% (+0.15)
Equal 9 10.18% (-0.09)
Under 9 27.65% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 51.44% (+0.22)
Under 10.5 48.56% (-0.22)

Al Fateh Goals

Over 1.5 23.32% (-2.15)
Under 1.5 76.68% (+2.15)
Over 2.5 8.51% (-1.47)
Under 2.5 91.49% (+1.46)
Over 3.5 2.73% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 97.27% (+0.30)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 90.65% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 9.35% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 73.94% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 26.06% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 50.22% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 49.78% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 28.08% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 71.92% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Al Fateh 14.29%
Draw 14.79%
Al-Nassr 70.92%
Al Fateh
2-1 @ 3.36% (-0.33)
1-0 @ 2.51% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.29)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.6% (-0.21)
Total : 14.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.02% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.22)
0-0 @ 2.14% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.33)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.09)
Total : 14.79%
Al-Nassr
1-2 @ 9.23% (+0.29)
1-3 @ 8.23% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 7.72% (+0.43)
0-3 @ 7.32% (+0.27)
0-1 @ 5.56% (+0.66)
2-3 @ 4.91% (-0.14)
Other @ 27.95% (+0.33)
Total : 70.92%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League
Oct 18, 2025 7.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 34
May 26, 2025 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Al-Hasa
  • Matias Vargas 45'+4' goal
  • Naif Masoud 53' yellowcard
  • Mourad Batna 81' goal
  • Mourad Batna 83' yellowcard
  • Marwane Saadane 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Matheus Machado Ferreira 90'+6' goal
  • Matheus Machado Ferreira 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 42'
  • yellowcard Abdulmajeed Al-Sulaiheem 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ayman Yahya 54'
  • goal Sadio Mane 75'
  • yellowcard Salem Al-Najdi 79'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 17
Jan 26, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • 15' goal
  • Marwane Saadane 41' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 55' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Simakan 57' goal
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 87' goal
  • yellowcard Marwane Saadane 56'
  • yellowcard Saeed Baattia 61'
  • goal Mourad Batna 72'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 20
Feb 17, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT KSU Soccer Stadium
  • Marcelo Brozovic 14' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 17' goal
  • Otavio 72' goal
  • goal Salem Al-Najdi 29'
  • yellowcard Salem Al-Najdi 30'
  • yellowcard Mourad Batna 53'
  • yellowcard Cristian Tello 78'
  • yellowcard Marwane Saadane 79'
Saudi Pro League Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 7.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium
  • Abbas Sadiq Alhassan 63' yellowcard
  • goal Sadio Mane 27'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 38'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 52'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 55'
  • goal Sadio Mane 81'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 90'+6'