Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 14.37% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 12.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 1-3 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%) , while for a Al Fateh win it was 2-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.