Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 77.89%. A draw had a probability of 13.96% and a win for Al Najma had a probability of 8.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%) , while for a Al Najma win it was 0-1 (2.57%).