Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.