Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.71% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%) , while for a Nice win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.