Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.71% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%) , while for a Nice win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Nice |
| 61.2% | 20.71% | 18.09% |
| Both teams to score 55.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.12% | 62.87% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.23% | 12.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.94% | 39.05% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% | 35.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.32% | 72.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Nice |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 9.43% 3-1 @ 6.82% 3-0 @ 6.66% 4-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.45% 5-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.55% Total : 61.2% | 1-1 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 5.1% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 4.95% 0-1 @ 4.7% 0-2 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.09% |