Ligue 1
Dec 6, 2025 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Youssef El-Arabi 38' goal
  • Dehmaine Assoumani 83' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • goal Florian Thauvin 34'
  • goal Wesley Said 81'

Nantes vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2025 7.45pm
Lyon 3 - 0 Nantes
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Fabien Centonze

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2025 4.15pm
Angers 1 - 2 Lens
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Wesley Said

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 55.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.03% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%) , while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Nantes 21.05%
Draw 23.03%
Lens 55.92%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.23%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.49%
Under 2.5 46.5%
Over 3.5 31.22%
Under 3.5 68.78%
Over 4.5 15.52%
Under 4.5 84.48%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 63.72%
Under 0.5 36.28%
Over 1.5 26.93%
Under 1.5 73.07%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 83.55%
Under 0.5 16.45%
Over 1.5 53.86%
Under 1.5 46.14%

Score analysis

Nantes 21.05%
Draw 23.03%
Lens 55.92%
Nantes
1-0 @ 6.05%
2-1 @ 5.54%
2-0 @ 3.07%
3-1 @ 1.87%
3-2 @ 1.69%
3-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 21.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 5.97%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.03%
Lens
0-1 @ 10.77%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-2 @ 9.72%
1-3 @ 5.93%
0-3 @ 5.85%
2-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 2.68%
0-4 @ 2.64%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 55.92%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Louis Leroux 36' goal
  • Kelvin Amian 58' yellowcard
  • Moses Simon 60' goal
  • Anthony Lopes 82' yellowcard
  • Meschak Elia 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Gradit 28'
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 45'+1'
  • goal Neil El Aynaoui 65'
  • yellowcard Adrien Thomasson 66'
  • redcard Mbala N'Zola 70'
  • yellowcard Angelo Fulgini 90'+8'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Ferdi Petit
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 21' goal
  • Facundo Medina 35' yellowcard
  • Remy Labeau 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Hamzat Ojediran 86' goal
  • Adrien Thomasson 90' goal
  • goal Moses Simon 36'
  • goal Nicolas Cozza 71'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Tino Kadewere 27' yellowcard
  • Douglas 61' yellowcard
  • goal David Costa 48'
  • yellowcard Ruben Aguilar 81'
  • yellowcard Kevin Danso 82'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Florian Sotoca 27' goal
  • Facundo Medina 58' goal
  • Elye Wahi 68' yellowcard
  • Florian Sotoca 72' goal
  • Neil El Aynaoui 89' goal
  • yellowcard Eray Comert 68'
  • yellowcard Jean-Kevin Duverne 83'
Coupe de France
Mar 1, 2023 5.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Andy Delort 31' goal
  • Andy Delort 59' goal
  • goal Seko Fofana 28'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 4.05pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Deiver Machado 34' goal
  • Adrien Thomasson 36' goal
  • Charles Traore 74' goal
  • goal Florent Mollet 40'