Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 55.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.03% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%) , while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.