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Ligue 1

Nantes
Ligue 1
Dec 6, 2025 at 4pm UK
 
Lens logo

NantesNantes
1-2
Lens

El-Arabi (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Thauvin (34'), Said (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Angers 4-1 Nantes
Friday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: Concarneau vs. Nantes
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 2-0 Nice
Sunday, December 14 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: Feignies-Aulnoye vs. Lens
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 55.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.03% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%) , while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawLens
21.05%23.03%55.92%
Both teams to score 53.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49%46.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22%68.78%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72%36.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93%73.07%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55%16.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86%46.14%
Score Analysis
    Nantes 21.05%
    Lens 55.92%
    Draw 23.03%
NantesDrawLens
1-0 @ 6.05%
2-1 @ 5.54%
2-0 @ 3.07%
3-1 @ 1.87%
3-2 @ 1.69%
3-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 21.05%
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 5.97%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 10.77%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-2 @ 9.72%
1-3 @ 5.93%
0-3 @ 5.85%
2-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 2.68%
0-4 @ 2.64%
2-4 @ 1.36%
1-5 @ 0.97%
0-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 55.92%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2025 2pm
gameweek 23
Nantes
3-1
Lens
Leroux (36'), Simon (60' pen.), Elia (90+5')
Amian (58'), Lopes (82')
El Aynaoui (65' pen.)
Gradit (28'), Medina (45+1'), Thomasson (66'), Fulgini (90+8')
N'Zola (70')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2024 6pm
gameweek 11
Lens
3-2
Nantes
Frankowski (21' pen.), Ojediran (86'), Thomasson (90')
Medina (35'), Labeau (45+5')
Simon (36' pen.), Cozza (71')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2024 8pm
gameweek 20
Nantes
0-1
Lens

Kadewere (27'), Douglas (61')
Costa (48')
Aguilar (81'), Danso (82')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2023 8pm
gameweek 10
Lens
4-0
Nantes
Sotoca (27' pen., 72' pen.), Medina (58'), El Aynaoui (89')
Wahi (68')

Comert (68'), Duverne (83')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2023 5.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nantes
2-1
Lens
Delort (31' pen., 59' pen.)
Fofana (28')
> Preview