Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Kisvarda had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Kisvarda win was 1-2 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.