Serie B
Dec 21, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
 
Empoli logo

Mantova
0-1
Empoli

FT(HT: 0-0)
Nasti (67')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Mantova and Empoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mantova

All competitions
Last Game: Mantova 0-1 Empoli
Sunday, December 21 at 4.15pm in Serie B
Next Game: Carrarese vs. Mantova
Saturday, December 27 at 2pm in Serie B

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Mantova 0-1 Empoli
Sunday, December 21 at 4.15pm in Serie B
Next Game: Empoli vs. Frosinone
Saturday, December 27 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
MantovaDrawEmpoli
42.6% (0.555 0.56)26.26% (0.163 0.16)31.14% (-0.71 -0.71)
Both teams to score 52.15% (-0.794 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (-0.893 -0.89)52.29% (0.899 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (-0.772 -0.77)73.99% (0.78 0.78)
Mantova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (-0.116 -0.12)24.34% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (-0.167 -0.17)58.73% (0.174 0.17)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.935 -0.94)31.07% (0.943 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-1.11 -1.11)67.39% (1.117 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Mantova 42.59%
    Empoli 31.14%
    Draw 26.26%
MantovaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.213 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 42.59%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.266 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.087 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.14%