Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.