Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.