Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 57.2%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.6%) and 0-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (5.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.