Eerste Divisie
Dec 12, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marco Kleinen 33' goal
  • Djairo Tehubyuluw 60' yellowcard
  • Stan Van Dessel 79' goal
  • Kanou Sy 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Emre Ünüvar 59'
  • yellowcard Paul Peters Reverson 78'

MVV Maastricht vs Jong Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Dec 5, 2025 7.00pm
Helmond 2 - 4 MVV
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Stan Van Dessel

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Dec 5, 2025 7.00pm
Almere City 3 - 2 Jong Ajax
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Abdellah Ouazane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

MVV Maastricht 45.69%
Draw 22.81%
Jong Ajax 31.51%

Both Teams to Score: 

64.29%

Goals

Over 2.5 63.49%
Under 2.5 36.51%
Over 3.5 41.34%
Under 3.5 58.66%
Over 4.5 23.23%
Under 4.5 76.77%

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 83.54%
Under 0.5 16.46%
Over 1.5 53.84%
Under 1.5 46.16%

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 76.95%
Under 0.5 23.05%
Over 1.5 43.13%
Under 1.5 56.88%

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 45.69%
Draw 22.8%
Jong Ajax 31.51%
MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.06%
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 5.45%
3-2 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.68%
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 45.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 6.65%
0-0 @ 3.79%
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.8%
Jong Ajax
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-1 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 4.09%
1-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.51%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Aug 29, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 37
May 2, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Robert Klaasen 90'+2' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • Jan Faberski 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Smeets 35'
  • yellowcard Tim Zeegers 60'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 25
Feb 12, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Sportpark De Toekomst
  • Julian Rijkhoff 18' goal
  • Julian Rijkhoff 31' goal
  • Nassef Chourak 65' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Koen Kostons 3' goal
  • Koen Kostons 13' goal
  • Koen Kostons 42' yellowcard
  • Wout Coomans 64' yellowcard
  • Nicky Souren 75' redcard
  • Romain Matthys 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tristan Gooijer 42'
  • goal Gabriel Misehouy 87'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Misehouy 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Silvano Vos 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Oualid Agougil 90'+5'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 25
Feb 20, 2023 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Kian Fitz-Jim 5' goal
  • Francisco Conceicao 8' goal
  • Mika Godts 51' goal
  • Jaydon Banel 90'+4' goal
  • goal Sven Blummel 31'
  • goal Jarne Steuckers 65'