Eerste Divisie
Dec 12, 2025 at 7pm UK
 

MVVMVV Maastricht
2-1
Jong AjaxJong Ajax

Kleinen (33'), Van Dessel (79' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ünüvar (59')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: MVV 2-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, December 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Next Game: Cambuur vs. MVV
Friday, December 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last Game: MVV 2-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, December 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Next Game: Jong Ajax vs. RKC Waalwijk
Monday, December 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
45.69%22.81%31.51%
Both teams to score 64.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.49%36.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.34%58.66%
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54%16.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.84%46.16%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95%23.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13%56.88%
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 45.69%
    Jong Ajax 31.51%
    Draw 22.8%
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.06%
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 5.45%
3-2 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.68%
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 6.65%
0-0 @ 3.79%
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-1 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 4.09%
1-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.51%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2025 7pm
Jong Ajax
0-0
MVV
May 2, 2025 7pm
gameweek 37
MVV
1-0
Jong Ajax
Klaasen (90+2')
Aug 19, 2024 7pm
gameweek 2
Jong Ajax
0-0
MVV
Faberski (81')
Smeets (35'), Zeegers (60')
Feb 12, 2024 7pm
gameweek 25
Jong Ajax
3-0
MVV
Rijkhoff (18', 31'), Chourak (65')
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
gameweek 4
MVV
2-1
Jong Ajax
Kostons (3', 13')
Kostons (42'), Coomans (64'), Matthys (90+1')
Souren (75')
Misehouy (87')
Gooijer (42'), Misehouy (90+1'), Agougil (90+5'), Vos (90+4')