Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.