Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.