Europa League
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bryan Zaragoza 17' goal
  • Ionut Radu 87' yellowcard
  • Javier Rueda Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Ilaix Moriba 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 66'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 74'
  • yellowcard Emil Holm 84'

Celta Vigo vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 5.45pm
Ludogorets 3 - 2 Celta Vigo

Bologna

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 8.00pm
Bologna 4 - 1 Salzburg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Celta Vigo 31.77%
Draw 26.24%
Bologna 41.99%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.47%

Goals

Over 2.5 48%
Under 2.5 52%
Over 3.5 26.26%
Under 3.5 73.74%
Over 4.5 12.16%
Under 4.5 87.83%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 69.5%
Under 0.5 30.49%
Over 1.5 33.29%
Under 1.5 66.71%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 75.49%
Under 0.5 24.51%
Over 1.5 41.02%
Under 1.5 58.97%

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 31.77%
Draw 26.24%
Bologna 41.98%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-1 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 5.27%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 5.21%
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 26.24%
Bologna
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 7.39%
1-3 @ 4.11%
0-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 41.98%