Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.29% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.