Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.