Benfica
Champions League | League Stage
Dec 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
 
Napoli logo

2-0

Rios (20'), Barreiro (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Moreirense 0-4 Benfica
Sunday, December 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Farense vs. Benfica
Wednesday, December 17 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
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Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Napoli
Sunday, December 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Next Game: Napoli vs. AC Milan
Thursday, December 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.53% and a win for Napoli had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%) , while for a Napoli win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawNapoli
54.64%23.53%21.83%
Both teams to score 52.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.28%47.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.09%69.91%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65%17.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27%47.73%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.79%36.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.01%72.99%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 54.64%
    Napoli 21.83%
    Draw 23.52%
BenficaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.64%
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-0 @ 5.63%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 54.64%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.38%
1-2 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 21.83%

Head to Head
Dec 6, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Benfica
1-2
Napoli
Jimenez (87')
Pizzi (89')
Maria Callejon (60'), Mertens (77')
Koulibaly (15')
Sep 28, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Napoli
4-2
Benfica
Hamsik (20'), Mertens (51', 58'), Milik (54' pen.)
Reina (86')
Guedes (70'), Salvio (86')
Lopez (50'), Cesar (53'), Carrillo (65'), Fejsa (76')