Supercoppa Italiana
Dec 19, 2025 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
ET
  • Riccardo Orsolini 35' goal
  • goal Marcus Thuram 2'

Bologna vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Inter Milan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Bologna 33.69% (-0.64)
Draw 25.77% (+0.17)
Inter Milan 40.54% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.61% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.49% (-0.85)
Under 2.5 49.51% (+0.85)
Over 3.5 28.46% (-0.77)
Under 3.5 71.54% (+0.76)
Over 4.5 13.62% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 86.38% (+0.52)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 71.99% (-0.80)
Under 0.5 28.01% (+0.80)
Over 1.5 36.34% (-1.03)
Under 1.5 63.65% (+1.03)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 75.86% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 24.14% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 41.55% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 58.45% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Bologna 33.69%
Draw 25.77%
Inter Milan 40.54%
Bologna
1-0 @ 8.6% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.76% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 9.61% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 8.69% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.83% (+0.18)
1-3 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.24% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 40.54%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Vincenzo Italiano 56' redcard
  • Dan Ndoye 58' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 90'+4' goal
  • Riccardo Orsolini 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 39'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 61'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 81'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Denzel Dumfries 19' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 45'+1' goal
  • Simone Inzaghi 73' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Castro 15'
  • goal Emil Holm 64'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Joshua Zirkzee 25' yellowcard
  • Remo Freuler 47' yellowcard
  • goal Yann Aurel Bisseck 37'
  • yellowcard Davy Klaassen 81'
Coppa Italia
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
ET Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Carlos Augusto 92' goal
  • Yann Aurel Bisseck 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Matteo Darmian 100' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Pavard 103' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 109' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charalampos Lykogiannis 41'
  • yellowcard Sydney van Hooijdonk 58'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Fabbian 88'
  • goal Sam Beukema 112'
  • goal Dan Ndoye 116'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Francesco Acerbi 11' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 13' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 58' yellowcard
  • Simone Inzaghi 71' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Bastoni 90' yellowcard
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 19'
  • yellowcard Dan Ndoye 33'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 52'
  • yellowcard Sam Beukema 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lewis Ferguson 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 26, 2023 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Riccardo Orsolini 76' goal