Bologna logo
Supercoppa Italiana
Dec 19, 2025 at 7pm UK
 
Inter logo

1-1

Orsolini (35' pen.)
FT
(aet)
Thuram (2')
Bologna win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Supercoppa Italiana semi-final between Bologna and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Inter Milan (3-2 pen.)
Friday, December 19 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Next Game: Napoli vs. Bologna
Monday, December 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
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Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Inter Milan (3-2 pen.)
Friday, December 19 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Next Game: Atalanta vs. Inter Milan
Sunday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
BolognaDrawInter Milan
33.69% (-0.633 -0.63)25.77% (0.166 0.17)40.54% (0.464 0.46)
Both teams to score 54.61% (-0.705 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.49% (-0.844 -0.84)49.51% (0.841 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.46% (-0.762 -0.76)71.54% (0.758 0.76)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.79600000000001 -0.8)28.01% (0.794 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (-1.025 -1.03)63.65% (1.022 1.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.14 -0.14)24.14% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-0.196 -0.2)58.45% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 33.69%
    Inter Milan 40.54%
    Draw 25.77%
BolognaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.103 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.69%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.76% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.288 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.83% (0.178 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.54%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2025 5pm
gameweek 33
Bologna
1-0
Inter Milan
Orsolini (90+4')
Ndoye (58'), Orsolini (90+6')
Italiano (56')

Mkhitaryan (39'), Bastoni (61'), Correa (81')
Jan 15, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Inter Milan
2-2
Bologna
Dumfries (19'), Martinez (45+1')
Inzaghi (73')
Castro (15'), Holm (64')
Mar 9, 2024 5pm
gameweek 28
Bologna
0-1
Inter Milan

Zirkzee (25'), Freuler (47')
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Inter Milan
1-2
Bologna
Augusto (92')
Aurel Bisseck (90+4'), Darmian (100'), Pavard (103'), Barella (109')
Beukema (112'), Ndoye (116')
Lykogiannis (41'), van Hooijdonk (58'), Fabbian (88')
Oct 7, 2023 2pm
gameweek 8
Inter Milan
2-2
Bologna
Acerbi (11'), Martinez (13')
Martinez (58'), Inzaghi (71'), Bastoni (90')
Orsolini (19' pen.), Zirkzee (52')
Ndoye (33'), Ferguson (90+4'), Beukema (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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