Supercoppa Italiana
Napoli
Dec 18, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
AC Milan
  • David Neres 39' goal
  • Rasmus Hojlund 63' goal
  • Leonardo Spinazzola 81' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 38'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 83'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard Zachary Athekame 85'

Napoli vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

AC Milan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Napoli 44.27% ▼ (-0.32)
Draw 26.38% ▲ (+0.35)
AC Milan 29.35% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.92% ▼ (-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.52% ▼ (-1.40)
Under 2.5 53.48% ▲ (+1.40)
Over 3.5 25% ▼ (-1.20)
Under 3.5 75.01% ▲ (+1.20)
Over 4.5 11.36% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 4.5 88.65% ▲ (+0.77)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 75.97% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 0.5 24.04% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 1.5 41.7% ▼ (-1.10)
Under 1.5 58.3% ▲ (+1.10)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 67.03% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 0.5 32.98% ▲ (+0.75)
Over 1.5 30.44% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 1.5 69.56% ▲ (+0.85)

Score analysis

Napoli 44.26%
Draw 26.38%
AC Milan 29.35%
Napoli
1-0 @ 11.29% ▲ (+0.36)
2-1 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53% ▲ (+0.15)
0-0 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.43)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.38%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.30)
1-2 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.35%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
AC Milan
Sep 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Napoli
Serie A Gameweek 30
Napoli
Mar 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
AC Milan
  • Matteo Politano 2' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 19' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 40' yellowcard
  • Antonio Conte 76' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Jovic 84'
  • yellowcard Alex Jimenez 90'
Serie A Gameweek 10
AC Milan
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 5'
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 43'
  • yellowcard Mathias Olivera 73'
Serie A Gameweek 24
AC Milan
Feb 11, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli
  • Theo Hernandez 25' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Jesus 85'
Serie A Gameweek 10
Napoli
Oct 29, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
AC Milan
  • Matteo Politano 50' goal
  • Natan 53' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Raspadori 63' goal
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 65' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Zanoli 86' yellowcard
  • Natan 89' redcard
  • goal Olivier Giroud 22'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 31'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 55'
  • yellowcard Luka Romero 62'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 78'
Champions League
Napoli
Apr 18, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Napoli)
AC Milan
  • Victor Osimhen 90'+3' goal
  • goal Olivier Giroud 43'

Form Data

Udinese 1 - 0 Napoli
Benfica 2 - 0 Napoli
Napoli 2 - 1 Juventus
Napoli 1 - 1 Cagliari
Roma 0 - 1 Napoli
Napoli 2 - 0 Qarabag
AC Milan 2 - 2 Sassuolo
Torino 2 - 3 AC Milan
Lazio 1 - 0 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 0 Lazio
Inter Milan 0 - 1 AC Milan
Parma 2 - 2 AC Milan