Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.4%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 2-1 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.