Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tractor Sazi win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tractor Sazi win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Al-Duhail win was 0-1 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.