Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.79% and a win for Vukovar had a probability of 10.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.25%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%) , while for a Vukovar win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.