Croatian 1. HNL
Dec 21, 2025 at 2pm UK
 

Hajduk Split
2-1
VukovarVukovar

Sego (7'), Livaja (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Puljic (61')
Tadić (30')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and Vukovar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

All competitions
Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-1 Vukovar
Sunday, December 21 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Vukovar

All competitions
Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-1 Vukovar
Sunday, December 21 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.79% and a win for Vukovar had a probability of 10.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.25%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%) , while for a Vukovar win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Hajduk SplitDrawVukovar
70.55% (-0.351 -0.35)18.79% (0.257 0.26)10.67% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 42.68% (-0.45500000000001 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (-0.816 -0.82)47.93% (0.82100000000001 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9% (-0.755 -0.75)70.11% (0.76000000000001 0.76)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.33099999999999 -0.33)12.35% (0.336 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.82% (-0.704 -0.7)38.18% (0.709 0.71)
Vukovar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.7% (-0.332 -0.33)51.31% (0.336 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.46% (-0.221 -0.22)85.55% (0.22500000000001 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Hajduk Split 70.54%
    Vukovar 10.67%
    Draw 18.79%
Hajduk SplitDrawVukovar
2-0 @ 13.85% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.28 0.28)
3-0 @ 9.66% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 5.05% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.37% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.11% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 70.54%
1-1 @ 8.84% (0.099 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 18.79%
0-1 @ 4.23% (0.102 0.1)
1-2 @ 2.95% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.41% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 10.67%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2025 2.45pm
Vukovar
0-1
Hajduk Split