Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 (9.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.