Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEOM SC win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Al Fayha had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEOM SC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Al Fayha win was 1-0 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.