Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEOM SC win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEOM SC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Al Khaleej win was 2-1 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.