Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.04% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%) , while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.