Welsh Premier League
Dec 21, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
 

Connah's QuayConnah's Quay Nomads
4-2
Briton Ferry

Franklin (39', 90+5'), West (46'), Woodcock (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Walters (33'), Anderson (54')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Briton Ferry.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-2 Briton Ferry
Sunday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Next Game: Flint Town vs. Connah's Quay
Friday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Briton Ferry

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-2 Briton Ferry
Sunday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Next Game: Pen-y-Bont vs. Briton Ferry
Friday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.04% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%) , while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBriton Ferry
63.85% (-0.472 -0.47)19.04% (0.191 0.19)17.11% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 59.99% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.74% (-0.374 -0.37)34.26% (0.378 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.84% (-0.425 -0.43)56.16% (0.428 0.43)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.8% (-0.21799999999999 -0.22)10.21% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.5% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)33.5% (0.511 0.51)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81% (0.088000000000008 0.09)33.19% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (0.096 0.1)69.79% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 63.85%
    Briton Ferry 17.11%
    Draw 19.04%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBriton Ferry
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.73% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.4% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.22% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 4.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.83% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.75% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 63.85%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.39% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.04%
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.068 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.74% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.06% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 17.11%

Head to Head
Oct 11, 2025 12.30pm
Briton Ferry
0-3
Connah's Quay
Mar 29, 2025 2.30pm
gameweek 8
Briton Ferry
1-0
Connah's Quay
Bowen (71')
Bates (45'), (90+1')

Edwards (26'), Woodcock (90+2')
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
0-1
Briton Ferry

Kenny (43'), Nash (73'), Ferguson (73'), Nash (77')
Gammond (59')
Gammond (51')
Oct 27, 2024 2.30pm
gameweek 14
Connah's Quay
2-1
Briton Ferry
Hughes (34'), Edwards (37')
Williams (71')
Poole (90+1')
Jenkins (67')
Jenkins (33'), Owen (49'), Poole (71')
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
gameweek 5
Briton Ferry
1-5
Connah's Quay
Bowen (5')
Gammond (22'), Brock (30'), Bowen (39'), Evans (79')
Mwandwe (14'), Disney (50' pen.), Williams (51'), Hughes (72'), Berry (89')