Vasco da Gama
Copa do Brasil | Final
Dec 21, 2025 at 9pm UK
 
Corinthians

VascoVasco da Gama
1-2
Corinthians

Moreira (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alberto (18'), Depay (63')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Final clash between Vasco da Gama and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

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Last Game: Vasco 1-2 Corinthians
Sunday, December 21 at 9pm in Copa do Brasil
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Corinthians

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Last Game: Vasco 1-2 Corinthians
Sunday, December 21 at 9pm in Copa do Brasil
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (8.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawCorinthians
46.16% (-0.576 -0.58)26.17% (0.387 0.39)27.66% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 50.48% (-1.039 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (-1.414 -1.41)53.54% (1.415 1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (-1.208 -1.21)75.05% (1.207 1.21)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (-0.869 -0.87)23.15% (0.867 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (-1.286 -1.29)57.03% (1.284 1.28)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.60300000000001 -0.6)34.3% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (-0.651 -0.65)71% (0.65000000000001 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 46.15%
    Corinthians 27.66%
    Draw 26.17%
Vasco da GamaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 46.15%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.431 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.329 0.33)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 27.66%

Head to Head
Dec 18, 2025 12.30am
Final
Corinthians
0-0
Vasco
Raniele (45+3'), Raniele (45+4'), Vitinho (75')
Renan (8'), Oliveira (8'), (45+3')
Aug 24, 2025 8pm
Vasco
2-3
Corinthians
Apr 5, 2025 10.30pm
gameweek 2
Corinthians
3-0
Vasco
Alberto (12'), Depay (27'), Victor (90+1' og.)
Raniele (11'), Andres Martinez (48'), Matheuzinho (66')

Jair (5'), Victor (49')
Nov 24, 2024 7pm
gameweek 35
Corinthians
3-1
Vasco
Henrique (11'), Garro (15', 25')
Ramalho (68')
Luis Rodriguez (77')
Galdames (51'), Jair (67'), Luis Rodriguez (84'), Moura (85')
Jul 10, 2024 11pm
gameweek 16
Vasco
2-0
Corinthians
Piton (55'), Sforza (90+5')
David (3'), Maicon (32'), Lopes Ferreira (84')

Raniele (28'), Torres (45+1'), Coronado (82'), Giovane (83'), Raul (90+4')
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