Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.05% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.