Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Almere City win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.