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AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Emmen

AZ
5 - 1
Emmen

Mijnans (13'), van Brederode (15'), Beukema (23', 28'), Clasie (45+1')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Zivkovic (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: West Ham 2-1 AZ
Thursday, May 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Emmen

All competitions
Last Game: Emmen 0-3 FC Twente
Sunday, May 7 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 9.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.02%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawEmmen
75.01% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)15.65% (0.012 0.01)9.33% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.36% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)37.64% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.12% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)59.87% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.51% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)8.49% (0.0139 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.57% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)29.43% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.79% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)47.2% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.36%82.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 75%
    Emmen 9.33%
    Draw 15.65%
AZ AlkmaarDrawEmmen
2-0 @ 12.18%
3-0 @ 10.02%
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.29% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 75%
1-1 @ 7.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.01% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 15.65%
0-1 @ 3.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 9.33%

How you voted: AZ vs Emmen

AZ Alkmaar
84.2%
Draw
5.3%
Emmen
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 5
Emmen
0-3
AZ
Odgaard (21'), De Wit (27'), Reijnders (34')
Evjen (5')
Feb 6, 2021 1pm
gameweek 21
Emmen
0-1
AZ
Sugawara (71')
Hatzidiakos (42')
Nov 22, 2020 7pm
gameweek 9
AZ
1-0
Emmen
Martins Indi (11')
Koopmeiners (86'), Svensson (88')

Cavlan (62')
Bernadou (60')
May 10, 2020 1.30pm
gameweek 34
Emmen
P-P
AZ
Nov 10, 2019 7pm
gameweek 13
AZ
3-0
Emmen
Koopmeiners (36' pen.), Boadu (45'), Stengs (59')

Chacon (22'), Telgenkamp (35')