/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Femmlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
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Michel Vlap
70'
-
Vaclav Cerny
75'
-
Michel Vlap
90'+2'
Emmen vs FC Twente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F48%2Fron-jans.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result
Emmen
26.69%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
24.04%
▲
(+0.05)
FC Twente
49.26%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
56.48%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.68%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
45.31%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
32.35%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
67.65%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
16.32%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
83.67%
▲
(+0.09)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5
69.28%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
30.71%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
33.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
66.97%
▼
(-0.02)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
81.52%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
18.48%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
50.32%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
49.68%
▲
(+0.18)
Score analysis
Emmen
26.69%
Draw
24.04%
FC Twente
49.26%
Emmen
1-0
@
6.7%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 26.69%
2-1 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 26.69%
Draw
1-1
@
11.31%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.04%
0-0 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.04%
FC Twente
0-1
@
9.58%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 49.26%
1-2 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 49.26%
Jesse Bosch
66'