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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 58.01%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 0-1 (8.06%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
| 21.05% ( | 20.94% | 58.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.98% ( | 37.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.79% ( | 59.21% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( | 30.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.82% ( | 67.18% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.41% ( | 12.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.31% ( | 38.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 1-0 @ 4.57% ( 2-0 @ 2.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.05% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 3-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-3 @ 5.77% ( 2-3 @ 3.98% ( 1-4 @ 3.51% 0-4 @ 2.99% ( 2-4 @ 2.06% ( 1-5 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 4.02% Total : 58.01% |