Eredivisie | Gameweek 22

Feb 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
3 - 1
Sittard

Kramer (76'), Lobete (86'), Jozefzoon (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yilmaz (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 3-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, February 12 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Emmen 0-1 Sittard
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
51.92% ( 2.55)	23.51% ( -0.68)	24.58% ( -1.87)

Both teams to score 56.19% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.26% (

1.38)

44.74% (

-1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9% (

1.31)

67.1% (

-1.31)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76% (

1.5)

17.25% (

-1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.44% (

2.57)

47.56% (

-2.56)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.9% (

-0.77)

32.1% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.42% (

-0.89)

68.58% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 51.92%

Fortuna Sittard 24.58%

Draw 23.5%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.28) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.86% Total : 51.92%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.58%