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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
51.92% ( 2.55) | 23.51% ( -0.68) | 24.58% ( -1.87) |
Both teams to score 56.19% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.26% ( 1.38) | 44.74% ( -1.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.9% ( 1.31) | 67.1% ( -1.31) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.76% ( 1.5) | 17.25% ( -1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.44% ( 2.57) | 47.56% ( -2.56) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.9% ( -0.77) | 32.1% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.42% ( -0.89) | 68.58% ( 0.89) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.28) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.86% Total : 51.92% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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