Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.