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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-3 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 13.46% ( | 17.02% ( | 69.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.77% ( | 32.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.17% ( | 53.83% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( | 36.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( | 73.21% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.64% ( | 8.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.9% ( | 29.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 3.85% ( 1-0 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 2-0 @ 1.55% ( 3-1 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 13.46% | 1-1 @ 7.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.02% | 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0-2 @ 9.38% ( 1-3 @ 7.84% ( 0-3 @ 7.76% ( 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 1-4 @ 4.86% ( 0-4 @ 4.81% ( 2-3 @ 3.96% ( 2-4 @ 2.46% ( 1-5 @ 2.41% ( 0-5 @ 2.39% ( 2-5 @ 1.22% ( 1-6 @ 1% ( 0-6 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 69.53% |