Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Arno Verschueren 26' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 54' goal
  • Arno Verschueren 83' goal
  • goal Tijanni Noslin 19'

Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Oct 23, 2022 3.45pm
Utrecht 3 - 1 Sparta
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Tobias Lauritsen

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.30pm
Feyenoord 1 - 1 Sittard
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Burak Yilmaz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result

Sparta Rotterdam 59.89% (-0.33)
Draw 21.95% (+0.11)
Fortuna Sittard 18.15% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.86% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.07% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 45.93% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 31.76% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 68.24% (+0.12)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 85.07% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 14.92% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 56.68% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 43.31% (+0.28)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5 60.96% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 39.04% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 24.24% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 75.76% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 59.89%
Draw 21.95%
Fortuna Sittard 18.15%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 11.08% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.54% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 59.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.83% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.95%
Fortuna Sittard
0-1 @ 5.48% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4.9% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.58% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.54% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 18.15%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Apr 16, 2022 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mats Seuntjens 10' goal
  • Mats Seuntjens 27' yellowcard
  • Paul Gladon 35' goal
  • Paul Gladon 77' goal
  • yellowcard Maduka Okoye 11'
  • yellowcard Joeri de Kamps 33'
  • yellowcard Vito van Crooij 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2021 1.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Bryan Smeets 21' goal
  • Lennart Thy 29' goal
  • Tom Beugelsdijk 42' yellowcard
  • Mica Pinto 44' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Emegha 73' goal
  • goal Mats Seuntjens 49'
  • yellowcard Zian Flemming 63'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2021 1.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Danzell Gravenberch 2' yellowcard
  • Danzell Gravenberch 31' goal
  • Tom Beugelsdijk 80' yellowcard
  • goal Lisandro Semedo 23'
  • goal Sebastian Polter 50'
  • yellowcard Zian Flemming 88'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Semedo 90'+1'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Jan 13, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Zian Flemming 25' yellowcard
  • Mats Seuntjens 83' yellowcard
  • Roel Janssen 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Lennart Thy 57'
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)
  • Joel Piroe 63' yellowcard
  • Jurgen Mattheij 73' goal
  • goal Vitalie Damascan 20'
  • yellowcard Wessel Dammers 33'
  • yellowcard Jorrit Smeets 54'
  • yellowcard Bassala Sambou 93'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2019 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)
  • Jorrit Smeets 26' yellowcard
  • Mark Diemers 58' yellowcard
  • Branislav Ninaj 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lassana Faye 22'
  • yellowcard Bryan Smeets 48'
  • yellowcard Adil Auassar 68'
  • redcard Adil Auassar 82'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Dervisoglu 96'