Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Oct 29, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
3 - 1
Sittard

Verschueren (26', 83'), van Crooij (54' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Noslin (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 3-1 Sparta
Sunday, October 23 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Sittard
Saturday, October 22 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
59.89% ( -0.32)	21.95% ( 0.11)	18.15% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.07% (

-0.13)

45.93% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.76% (

-0.12)

68.24% (

0.12)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.07% (

-0.14)

14.92% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.68% (

-0.27)

43.31% (

0.27)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.96% (

0.17)

39.04% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.24% (

0.16)

75.76% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 59.89%

Fortuna Sittard 18.15%

Draw 21.95%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 59.89%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.95%	0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.15%