Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 81.84%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 6.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.39%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.69%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.