Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.29%) and 1-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.