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Europa League

PSV
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion

PSV
1 - 1
Bodo/Glimt

Gakpo (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gronbaek (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Bodo/Glimt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

Last Six:
Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 PSV
Saturday, September 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Bodo/Glimt

Last Six:
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-4 Molde
Saturday, September 3 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.84%) and 1-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawBodo/Glimt
47.65% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)21.75% (-0.038 -0.04)30.6% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 67.78% (0.215 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.26% (0.252 0.25)31.74% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.75% (0.296 0.3)53.25% (-0.298 -0.3)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (0.067999999999998 0.07)13.96% (-0.068 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.56% (0.133 0.13)41.44% (-0.133 -0.13)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (0.18900000000001 0.19)21.23% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87% (0.294 0.29)54.13% (-0.294 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 47.65%
    Bodo/Glimt 30.6%
    Draw 21.75%
PSV EindhovenDrawBodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 5.84% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.53% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.23% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.15% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 47.65%
1-1 @ 9.04% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.9% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.96% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.34% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 7.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.56% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.02 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 30.6%

How you voted: PSV vs Bodo/Glimt

PSV Eindhoven
83.0%
Draw
8.7%
Bodo/Glimt
8.3%
218