Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.59%) and 0-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 2-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.