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Champions League
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2022 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas

Bodo/Glimt
5 - 0
Zalgiris

Vetlesen (33' pen.), Pellegrino (36'), Salvesen (58'), Hoibraten (61'), Espejord (90+3')
Wembangomo (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bopesu (32'), Ourega (41'), Mamic (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bodo/Glimt and FK Zalgiris, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bodo/Glimt

Last Six:
Last Game: Aalesund 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

FK Zalgiris

Last Six:
    Last Game: Malmo 0-2 Zalgiris
    Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Champions League

    We said: Bodo/Glimt 2-0 FK Zalgiris

     Though they have suffered setbacks on the road to the group stage so far, Bodo/Glimt have performed with a swagger in recent matches and should prove particularly tough to beat in front of their own supporters. While Zalgiris are currently more consistent in terms of results, the hosts' greater European experience should steer them to a useful first-leg lead. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 17.22%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

    Result
    Bodo/GlimtDrawFK Zalgiris
    56.8% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 25.98% (-0.035 -0.04) 17.22% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
    Both teams to score 39.23% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    38.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)61.95% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    18.3% (0.033000000000001 0.03)81.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
    Bodo/Glimt Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    77.96% (0.054000000000002 0.05)22.04% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    44.62% (0.082000000000001 0.08)55.37% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
    FK Zalgiris Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    50.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)49.67% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    15.57% (-0.029 -0.03)84.43% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
    Score Analysis
        Bodo/Glimt 56.79%
        FK Zalgiris 17.22%
        Draw 25.97%
    Bodo/GlimtDrawFK Zalgiris
    1-0 @ 16.55%
    2-0 @ 12.52% (0.02 0.02)
    2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
    3-0 @ 6.31% (0.02 0.02)
    3-1 @ 4.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
    4-0 @ 2.39% (0.012 0.01)
    4-1 @ 1.67% (0.006 0.01)
    3-2 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 2.63%
    Total : 56.79%
    		1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    0-0 @ 10.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
    2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
    Other @ 0.39%
    Total : 25.97%
    		0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
    1-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
    0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
    1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
    Other @ 1.88%
    Total : 17.22%

    How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Zalgiris

    Bodo/Glimt
    74.8%
    Draw
    10.1%
    FK Zalgiris
    15.1%
    139
    Head to Head
    Aug 26, 2021 5pm
    Bodo/Glimt
    1-0
    Zalgiris
    Solbakken (62')
    Saltnes (54'), Botheim (64'), Haikin (90+3')

    Kis (52'), Mikoliunas (65'), Bopesu (83')
    Aug 19, 2021 6pm
    Zalgiris
    2-2
    Bodo/Glimt
    Kis (7'), Hadji Pape Diaw (90+2')
    Sylvestr (50')
    Saltnes (49', 54')
    Fet (45+1')
    Sep 17, 2020 5pm
    Bodo/Glimt
    3-1
    Zalgiris
    Zinckernagel (20'), Okoh Boniface (32'), Andre Bjorkan (81')
    Lode (17')
    Antal (26')
    Simkus (21'), Karamarko (81')
    rhs 2.0
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