Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/Glimt	Draw	FK Zalgiris
56.8% ( 0.09)	25.98% ( -0.04)	17.22% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 39.23% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.04% (

0.05)

61.95% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.3% (

0.03)

81.7% (

-0.03)

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

0.05)

22.04% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

0.08)

55.37% (

-0.08)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.32% (

-0.04)

49.67% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.57% (

-0.03)

84.43% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Bodo/Glimt 56.79%

FK Zalgiris 17.22%

Draw 25.97%

Bodo/Glimt	Draw	FK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 16.55% 2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.79%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.22%