Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 19, 2022 at 5pm UK

Vilniaus LFF stadionas

Zalgiris
1 - 0
Malmo

(FK Zalgiris win 3-0 on aggregate)

Ourega (49')
Ljubisavljevic (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moisander (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FK Zalgiris and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

Last Game: Zalgiris 1-0 KF Ballkani (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
FK Zalgiris	Draw	Malmo
24.68% ( -0.59)	25.3% ( 0.06)	50.02% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 50.61% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.85% (

-0.71)

52.15% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.13% (

-0.61)

73.87% (

0.61)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.96% (

-0.89)

36.04% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.18% (

-0.93)

72.82% (

0.93)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.13% (

-0.06)

20.86% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.44% (

-0.1)

53.56% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

FK Zalgiris 24.68%

Malmo 50.02%

Draw 25.29%

FK Zalgiris	Draw	Malmo
1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.9% Total : 24.68%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 50.02%