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Champions League

Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 12, 2022 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
Ballkani

Zalgiris
1 - 0
KF Ballkani

Oyewusi (97')
Mamic (21'), Milickovic (40'), Mikoliunas (54'), Oyewusi (78')
FT
(aet)

Emerllahu (52'), Rrahmani (119')
Zalgiris win 0-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FK Zalgiris and KF Ballkani, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

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Last Game: KF Ballkani 1-1 Zalgiris
Tuesday, July 5 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

KF Ballkani

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Last Game: KF Ballkani 1-1 Zalgiris
Tuesday, July 5 at 7pm in Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawKF Ballkani
37% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)25.18% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)37.82% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (0.022999999999996 0.02)46.5% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (0.023 0.02)68.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.17% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
KF Ballkani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)24.21% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45% (0.021999999999998 0.02)58.55% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 37%
    KF Ballkani 37.82%
    Draw 25.18%
FK ZalgirisDrawKF Ballkani
1-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 37%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6%
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 37.82%

How you voted: Zalgiris vs KF Ballkani

FK Zalgiris
80.6%
Draw
9.7%
KF Ballkani
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2022 7pm
KF Ballkani
1-1
Zalgiris
Gripshi (15')
Emerllahu (44'), Jashanica (55'), Dellova (85')
Buff (25')
Kyeremeh (51'), Mikoliunas (64')