Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 12, 2021 at 6pm UK

Vilniaus LFF stadionas

Zalgiris
0 - 1
NS Mura

(NS Mura win 1-0 on aggregate)

Mikoliunas (16'), Hadji Pape Diaw (26'), Uzela (44'), Ljubisavljevic (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kous (12')
Horvat (23'), Kozar (50'), Gorenc (74'), Lorbek (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FK Zalgiris and NS Mura, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (5.08%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NS Mura would win this match.

Result
FK Zalgiris	Draw	NS Mura
38.28%	23.09%	38.63%

Both teams to score 65.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.74%

36.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.61%

58.38%

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56%

19.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.72%

51.27%

NS Mura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72%

19.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.98%

51.02%

Score Analysis

FK Zalgiris 38.28%

NS Mura 38.63%

Draw 23.08%

FK Zalgiris	Draw	NS Mura
2-1 @ 8.28% 1-0 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-2 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.37% Total : 38.28%	1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.81% 0-0 @ 3.75% 3-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 8.32% 0-1 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 4.56% 2-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.42% Total : 38.63%