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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 12, 2021 at 6pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
NS Mura

Zalgiris
0 - 1
NS Mura


Mikoliunas (16'), Hadji Pape Diaw (26'), Uzela (44'), Ljubisavljevic (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kous (12')
Horvat (23'), Kozar (50'), Gorenc (74'), Lorbek (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FK Zalgiris and NS Mura, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (5.08%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NS Mura would win this match.

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawNS Mura
38.28%23.09%38.63%
Both teams to score 65.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.74%36.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.61%58.38%
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56%19.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72%51.27%
NS Mura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72%19.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.98%51.02%
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 38.28%
    NS Mura 38.63%
    Draw 23.08%
FK ZalgirisDrawNS Mura
2-1 @ 8.28%
1-0 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 5.03%
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-2 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 38.28%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 6.81%
0-0 @ 3.75%
3-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-1 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 4.56%
2-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.88%
2-4 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 38.63%

How you voted: Zalgiris vs NS Mura

FK Zalgiris
74.5%
Draw
11.8%
NS Mura
13.7%
51
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2021 7pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
NS Mura
0-0
Zalgiris
Sturm (75')
Bopesu (56'), Ljubisavljevic (56'), Jarusevicius (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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