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Champions League

Ludogorets
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2021 at 7pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
NS Mura

Ludogorets
3 - 1
NS Mura

Soteriou (4'), Manu (82'), Oliveira Souza (90')
Tekpetey (35'), Despodov (50'), Oliveira Souza (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Horvat (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and NS Mura, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawNS Mura
29.95%24.37%45.68%
Both teams to score 57.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.29%44.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92%67.08%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93%28.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27%63.73%
NS Mura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29%19.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29%51.71%
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 29.95%
    NS Mura 45.68%
    Draw 24.37%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawNS Mura
2-1 @ 7.25%
1-0 @ 7.03%
2-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.49%
3-0 @ 1.89%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 29.95%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 9.27%
0-1 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 7.3%
1-3 @ 5.02%
0-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 2.04%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 45.68%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs NS Mura

Ludogorets Razgrad
85.1%
Draw
10.6%
NS Mura
4.3%
47