Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 20, 2021 at 7pm UK

Groupama Aréna

Ferencvaros
2 - 0
Zalgiris

(Ferencvaros win 5-1 on aggregate)

Uzuni (25'), Nguen (39')
Kharatin (45')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gamakov (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Ferencvaros and FK Zalgiris, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
Ferencvaros	Draw	FK Zalgiris
43.93%	24.91%	31.16%

Both teams to score 56.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.47%

46.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.2%

68.8%

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.78%

21.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.89%

54.11%

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.84%

28.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.15%

63.85%

Score Analysis

Ferencvaros 43.93%

FK Zalgiris 31.16%

Draw 24.9%

Ferencvaros	Draw	FK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.98% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.57% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.16%

How you voted: Ferencvaros vs Zalgiris

Ferencvaros

82.9%

Draw

7.9%

FK Zalgiris

9.2%