Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Vikingur Reykjavik
49.52% ( -0.01)	23.81% ( 0.01)	26.67%

Both teams to score 57.24% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69% (

-0.04)

44.31% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.32% (

-0.04)

66.68% (

0.04)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01% (

-0.02)

17.99% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.15% (

-0.03)

48.85% (

0.03)

Vikingur Reykjavik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.79% (

-0.02)

30.2% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.63% (

-0.03)

66.36% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Malmo 49.52%

Vikingur Reykjavik 26.67%

Draw 23.8%

Malmo	Draw	Vikingur Reykjavik
2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.52%	1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.09% Total : 26.67%