Champions League
Jul 5, 2022 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Anders Christiansen 13' yellowcard
  • Martin Olsson 16' goal
  • Veljko Birmancevic 41' yellowcard
  • Ola Toivonen 42' goal
  • Erdal Rakip 66' yellowcard
  • Veljko Birmancevic 84' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Ekroth 23'
  • yellowcard Kristall Mani Ingason 29'
  • yellowcard Viktor Orlygur Andrason 32'
  • yellowcard Pablo Punyed 34'
  • goal Kristall Mani Ingason 38'
  • redcard Kristall Mani Ingason 39'
  • yellowcard Thordur Ingason 83'
  • goal Helgi Gudjonsson 90'+3'

Malmo vs Vikingur Reykjavik - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions

Vikingur Reykjavik

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result

Malmo 49.52% (-0.01)
Draw 23.81% (+0.01)
Vikingur Reykjavik 26.67%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.24% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.69% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 44.31% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 33.32% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.68% (+0.05)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5 82.01% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.99% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.15% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 48.85% (+0.04)

Vikingur Reykjavik Goals

Over 0.5 69.79% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 30.2% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 33.63% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.36% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Malmo 49.52%
Draw 23.8%
Vikingur Reykjavik 26.67%
Malmo
2-1 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 9.32% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.99% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 49.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.8%
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.51% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.89% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 26.67%