Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Sundsvall had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Sundsvall win it was 1-0 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.