Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Sundsvall had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Sundsvall win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Degerfors would win this match.